10.21.09

Back after 5 months!

Posted in Cash Game, Investing at 2:53 pm by binbag

I am finally back to blogging! (online at least).  I’ve been keeping an offline blog, but they are more topic-centered. Like how i used to use this blog as a poker blog. Actually the reason i haven’t blogged here is because I have stopped playing poker, aside from the occasional facebook poker games. So i decided, that i should keep my investing diary offline. But certain things are not bloggable in the investing diary, and i often go into philosophy and psychology in my posts, so i thought i might as well come back to this blog, where i can discuss everything and have them put into the different categories. Also I have the feeling that if i write them here, they “won’t be lost forever”.

Here I will sum up all that has happened in the last 4 months (to make up for lost time) ( i may have forgotten some but these should be the main ones):

15th of July, I missed my flight

This was the first time ever i missed a flight. And it was due to an unexpected jam on the airport toll. We could have anticipated the jam, as it was at 5pm, but i don’t think we could have anticipated the severity of the jam. It was terrible… 6 lanes of jammed cars, on the only highway that leads to the airport! I can’t imagine how many people missed their flights too due to this.

Run like God in a live cash game

Might sounds like a blasphemous statement but the session itself, how good i ran, it really felt like God or a force was playing through me. Everything just went so well. I told W that I’ll never run this good again in my lifetime lol. How do you get up 8 buy-ins in a 3 hour cash game? Was dealt a fair lot of premium hands (AA twice KK JJ TT) but mostly importantly, every time i played for a big pot, i get lucky. Whether with premium hands like AA or speculative like 35s, i seem to hit the board hard, but more importantly someone else also hit the board, but only for the 2nd best hand. For example, I flopped flush on the turn over this guy’s set of aces on the flop, the two times I got aces I manage to get it in pre-flop and hold, then things like flopping straight over two pair, flopping two pair against a high pocket pair. Very unreal, and was definitely a great feeling. Although it seems like a lot in Indonesian money, I only won SGD$200. But it could last me a month or two here. Before the session i was focusing my mind on relaxing, and not thinking of anything at all, i think this state really helped a lot. I tried to maintain it throughout the session.

Finally investing the money

Father gave me some capital to trade, which is quite a huge sum to me, but i was too scared to put the money to use as i think i haven’t learned enough to invest properly yet. Then after some pressure from my dad, i finally picked a day when the market was red, and put 50% of my portfolio into 4 stocks – TLKM BBRI UNTR and BBKP. I believe these companies are safe yet might produce more than medium returns. I used two indicators, first Earnings growth, and second strong analyst recommendations. These stocks produce solid growth in earnings and are recovering well from the crisis. Their P/E are low 13-15. So this combined made the  ’margin of safety’ i was looking for if i was to enter into stocks. Although this was in no way a detailed analysis, at least i felt i did a good job in minimizing risk. I just didn’t want to lose any money, that is the number one key.

Thanks to my ‘guts’ the market rallied from that day onwards, BBRI and UNTR has seen 10-15% increases, reaching the initial price targets i set on them (which i never expected will come so quick). The less volatile stocks like TLKM and BBKP has seen a fair share of increases from 3-8%. I have seen taken profit on UNTR for 15% (it’s since moved higher….). BBRI i should have taken profit at 15% too but i didn’t because i thought BBRI has a little more to go. But i was wrong.. it’s gone down 10% from then, and my paper profits for BBRI today is only 6%, TLKM 3% and BBKP 1%. I’m thinking of putting another 1/3 of the money into the market again today, seeing 2 days of big drops upon no real news. We’ll see how.

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That’s the end of the summary. I’m constantly distracted throughout this blog post but hope i didn’t write too bad. More frequent blogs posts (mostly about investing) from today onwards.

05.22.09

Back!

Posted in Career, Investing, Poker at 11:32 pm by binbag

Ok I’m back to blogging now after leaving this blog for like half a year? I am posting again because yes, i’m play poker. I guess i don’t quit that easily… I want to do other things but i don’t know, i guess my mind is poker-filled already. HELP. I am not a gambling addict, i just crave action! I don’t know, i feel bored too easily and look for excitement in sports and games.

I am back to bloggin because i just read some pro poker players’ blogs and i’m surprised that so many of them blogs! I guess poker players are more self-evaluating people, so they tend to be people who keep personal notes of themselves? I am definitely this type. Also it is very shocking to find out how many poker players were athletes! I guess that again is another trait i possess, although i was never near professional in standard in any games, i have always loved all sports and play many sports. I probably above average in like most sports.

Anyway i am getting more out of point here.  I just want to say that i will be playing poker from now on, putting in some time each day to play poker, and other times for a new endeavour – investing. I am just starting out, and really clueless and know no people to discuss with? which sucks. at least i got a couple of poker friends. But a true serious discussion partner is very rare, but i think the best thing that you can have in your career. I am learning the basic chart patterns like support resistance those kind of things, i hope i don’t lose momentum, it can get really boring sometimes and i don’t have the best attention span (pretty bad actually). I have my parent’s approval for investing, which is the most i can hope for actually, very comforting actually. First time my self-interest is being supported by both my parents. I think i don’t have anything else to worry about now but to do my best, but that in itself is very difficult, i haven’t been putting in sustained effort in anything for a long time. That’s it, i don’t think this blog post is very structured but i think it should be okay. touched on the things i wanted to discuss at least.

Next blog will be the poker part.

11.21.08

My Fantasy Stock Portfolio

Posted in Investing at 2:31 pm by binbag

portfolionov08

Ya basically it’s a bloodbath. Now you know how bad the economy is! What I’ve learned from playing this is that investing is not as easy as “Buy Low – Sell High”. Stocks that have gone down a lot might go even lower. Goldman Sachs (GS) was at 164, it went to 119. You must think it’s cheap at that time right, but wrong! It’s now at 50, just 1/3 the price of what it used to be! SKF from around 140-160 shot up to 220. The stock never ever went above 200, it’s always gone to 180-190 and drop all the way down to the 140s. So i shorted it (which means bet on it going down) at 220. Look, now it’s at 262.

I will never, ever buy/short anything i don’t understand again.

11.02.08

The Best Stock Trader Ever

Posted in Investing at 4:06 pm by binbag

goes by the name of Jesse Lauriston Livermore or more commonly known as Jesse Livermore. He was such a successful stock trader that by the age of 15 he had already earned $1000 (equivalent to $20,000 today). However, his life did not go so well, his family was broken, he went bankrupt a few times. And at the age of 63, he committed suicide, leaving this note to his wife:

My dear Nina: Can’t help it. Things have been bad with me. I am tired of fighting. Can’t carry on any longer. This is the only way out. I am unworthy of your love. I am a failure. I am truly sorry, but this is the only way out for me. Love Laurie

How sad it is, to have a life of accomplishments and luxury only to have it end by taking your own life. I believe most accomplished investors are not your Average Joe. To excel in their field the way they do, it requires them to have different motivations compared to people of other professions. Mainly their obsessiveness and competitiveness. I also happen to find out that most of them are some sort of a recluse. In fact most great artists and geniuses have been the sort who never quite fit in and often an outcast – Van Gogh, Einstein, Mozart, the list is endless. It is not enough to say that eccentricity is a characteristic shared by many of them, it is shown across the board, that all great thinkers have always been somewhat eccentric.

My point actually is whether this characteristic can be changed. And whether people who are great thinkers can also lead a happier and more social life. Or is eccentricity a prerequisite to being a great thinker. And if so, is it worth it being a great thinker?